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in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that poll in iowa shows a gain for mr. obama, a 5-point gain. in florida, the same poll shows a 4-point swing for romney. he's up by 2 points. so the major fall or minor lift, however, you rattle the number lose, as the overall national polling shifts and the swing state races shift with them, the state where the romney campaign is hoping for the biggest shift of all is in ohio. in modern political history, ohio has been the path to the presidency for republican candidates. if republican candidates win ohio, they win the white house. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio,
in colorado, in one right-leaning poll romney is now up by 3 points. the same showed him losing by 5 before the debate. now he's up by 3. in virginia, the president is ahead by 3 in virginia. that same poll had the president's lead at 5 points before the debate. that shows the president's lead shrinking. in michigan, it's now barack obama by just 3 points. the president had led by 10 last month. now it's down to 3. in ohio today, a poll on the right gives the president an edge of 2 points. that...
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the latest polls, reuters has them tied. gallup has romney up by two. pew has him up by four. and we were talking about the polls in the balgtd ground states. it also now looks like according to other polls that pennsylvania and michigan may no longer be safe bets for the president. lynn. >> all right, thanks. last night on the rachel maddow show, nate silver talks about just how close the candidates are in the polls. >> the whole good month that obama had in september between the convention and the 47% tape, you're now seeing the race as close as it's been all year. i'm a little skeptical that it's actually tied based on the fact that obama still seems to on have a lead in the majority of swing state polls. but romney, who a week or two ago go looked like his campaign might be dead in the water, now is very, very close. maybe the debate was the october surprise, although it wouldn't be the first time that a challenger did really well in the first televised debate. >> every night rachel maddow takes on the biggest stories of the day. watch her at 9:00 eastern right here on msn
the latest polls, reuters has them tied. gallup has romney up by two. pew has him up by four. and we were talking about the polls in the balgtd ground states. it also now looks like according to other polls that pennsylvania and michigan may no longer be safe bets for the president. lynn. >> all right, thanks. last night on the rachel maddow show, nate silver talks about just how close the candidates are in the polls. >> the whole good month that obama had in september between the...
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there's also rasmussen poll that has romney three hey, 47-44. >> a lot of these polls where you see the president with, like, a five- or six-point lead, you go into the internals and you see they've been over-sampling democrats by, like, nine, or even, 10 or even 13 points. >> actually, greg, there was a brand new national bloomberg poll released today showing governor romney leading president obama on the issue of terrorism by six point. >> jon: how the hell are these polls so divergent, useless, accurate, yet quotable? i think we all know what we need? nerds! >> when you see obamaing gaining in today's poll, that means obama's interviews yesterday were better than seven days ago conducted before the debate. he went from three ahead in the seven-day track yesterday to five ahead in the track today. the next round of swing state polls shows the swing states tied, then democrats really will-- it will be appropriate for them to panic. ( laughter ) ( applause ) >> jon: nobody understands these things but those guys. and they're not telling us anything. is there anything that can help us ge
there's also rasmussen poll that has romney three hey, 47-44. >> a lot of these polls where you see the president with, like, a five- or six-point lead, you go into the internals and you see they've been over-sampling democrats by, like, nine, or even, 10 or even 13 points. >> actually, greg, there was a brand new national bloomberg poll released today showing governor romney leading president obama on the issue of terrorism by six point. >> jon: how the hell are these polls...
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let's talk about the pew poll and that romney lead. could you break down those numbers. >> that's a huge lead. if that number is correct, you know, it seems to be a little bit of an outlier. we don't have a lot of information. all the polls that have been released since the debate, state polls, national polls and the average for romney is he's increased his performance by about four to five points. that's a big deal. since the convention, obama seemed to have a lead of about four points. now it's gone back to the pre-convention period where it was tied or obama had a one to two-point lead in all the polls. the best thing to do is to wait for the by the end of the week we'll have more national poll. we'll see what's showing up in the swing state. it does seem just like obama got a big bump out of his convention, mitt romney has a significant bump out of his first debate performance. >> we need to look at overall trends. overall trends clearly moving towards romney including in key voting groups. women voters, if you look at pew a month
let's talk about the pew poll and that romney lead. could you break down those numbers. >> that's a huge lead. if that number is correct, you know, it seems to be a little bit of an outlier. we don't have a lot of information. all the polls that have been released since the debate, state polls, national polls and the average for romney is he's increased his performance by about four to five points. that's a big deal. since the convention, obama seemed to have a lead of about four points....
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the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's pleased with the numbers. joining us now, jim acosta with the romney campaign in newport news, virginia and on the phone, dan lothian with president obama's campaign. jim, you're on the trail with the romney campaign. what's the reaction to the latest polling, because republicans were complaining about these polls as soon as last week. now the poll is good news for them. are they complaining? >> well, anderson, i have to tell you i just saw mitt romney standing out in a drenching rain in newport news just a couple hours ago and he still had a smile on his face. they're pretty happy. they
the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's...
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today, romney had a one-point lead in the real clear politics poll and pundits throwing suggestions in the ring of what president obama needs to do next week at the debate. here's a view of the past and the future. >> i had a different reaction to that first debate than a lot of people did. i mean, i saw -- i thought, wow. here's old moderate mitt. where you been, boy? i missed you all these last two years. now, the problem with this deal is the deal was made by severe conservative mitt. that was how he described himself for two whole years. until three or four days before the debate they got together and said, hey man, this ship is sinking faster than the "titanic." just show up with a sunny face and say, i didn't say all that stuff i said the last two years. i don't have that tax plan i had for two years. you going to believe me or your lying eyes here? come on. what are you doing? and if i eve been the president, i might have said, i hate to get in the way of this. i miss you. >> wow. >> 66 years old, ladies and gentlemen. open heart surgery just a couple of years ago. >> he can sti
today, romney had a one-point lead in the real clear politics poll and pundits throwing suggestions in the ring of what president obama needs to do next week at the debate. here's a view of the past and the future. >> i had a different reaction to that first debate than a lot of people did. i mean, i saw -- i thought, wow. here's old moderate mitt. where you been, boy? i missed you all these last two years. now, the problem with this deal is the deal was made by severe conservative mitt....
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wall street journal front-page romney target's obama voters and the poll shows high rates. the governor tries to kill support from obama supporters. and then the "baltimore sun" this morning in the first set when obama returns to the trenches. the campaign stop in ohio and the 15th stock yesterday in the state in 2012. was his 30th trip he's taking office in this 15th this year alone to read it so both candidates campaigning in ohio and then as we said showing the race tightening after the debate here is "the new york post" this morning showing that nationwide according to the gallup, romney is up 49%. president obama 37% coming and then here you can see the state of ohio this is a cnn report showing president obama the four-point lead over governor romney in ohio the american research group showing romney up 48% in ohio and president obama 47%, so tightening across the country in the battleground states. samford for the democratic call. we will go back to the topic here. the supreme court to hear affirmative action cases today. what do you think clacks >> caller: back in t
wall street journal front-page romney target's obama voters and the poll shows high rates. the governor tries to kill support from obama supporters. and then the "baltimore sun" this morning in the first set when obama returns to the trenches. the campaign stop in ohio and the 15th stock yesterday in the state in 2012. was his 30th trip he's taking office in this 15th this year alone to read it so both candidates campaigning in ohio and then as we said showing the race tightening...
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mitt romney is leading in ten of the battleground states in politico's poll. trailing in the washington post political poll. what's your thought? does the governor think he can become the first republican to win without taking ohio? >> we're going to take ohio. the ground game that we put together there is exceedingly doing very, very well in terms of the number of contacts both on the phone and door to door. as you noted, he's been there quite a number of times. i think we continue to make up grounds. some of the polls have it tied. so i think in the final weeks we'll continue to make this about a clear choice in the election and governor romney will take ohio. >> take us into the back room for a second. without ohio you need to run the board here. what are your internals showing on that? how do you get florida and virginia? those are looking good? >> florida and virginia are looking good. nevada is looking great. colorado is looking great. iowa and new hampshire is looking very good as well. so i think, a, as i mentioned, i think we're going to take ohio. b,
mitt romney is leading in ten of the battleground states in politico's poll. trailing in the washington post political poll. what's your thought? does the governor think he can become the first republican to win without taking ohio? >> we're going to take ohio. the ground game that we put together there is exceedingly doing very, very well in terms of the number of contacts both on the phone and door to door. as you noted, he's been there quite a number of times. i think we continue to...
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epic-mra poll, obama, 48%, romney, 45%. we'll be right back. boy, they are close. >>> we're back. throughout this election year we've watched president obama and governor romney's campaigns carefully craft a message on who exactly their candidate is and what makes them tick. well, a pbs frontline documentary airing tonight is breaking through the talking points to find out what made these two presidential candidates the men they are in the words of their friends, family, enemies, and the reporters who have covered them. let's watch. >> he is a pragmatic business person. he's a guy who likes to take apart a problem and figure out how to get it fixed. >> barack obama is a fascinating mixture of boldness and caution but then once he makes a decision, it's usually the bold one. >> mitt romney has been accused of flip-flopping, but on mormonism he will never flip-flop. >> and yet in politics he has often tried to keep that part of him behind the curtain. >> the backlash against his presidency must be mystifying to him because he
epic-mra poll, obama, 48%, romney, 45%. we'll be right back. boy, they are close. >>> we're back. throughout this election year we've watched president obama and governor romney's campaigns carefully craft a message on who exactly their candidate is and what makes them tick. well, a pbs frontline documentary airing tonight is breaking through the talking points to find out what made these two presidential candidates the men they are in the words of their friends, family, enemies, and...
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we saw the pugh poll that shows romney up a great bit. now the real news begins, the state by state by state polls. >> four weeks away. can you believe it. >> we have a few to report on this morning. >> the election is coming. the fight for battleground states, less than four weeks until election day in ohio where there are 18 electoral votes up for grabs. a new cnn poll conducted after the debate shows the president leading by four points, 51-47. romney has gained four points there in just over a week. in new hampshire a new wmur granite state poll showses in last nine day he's whittled the 15-point lead down to 6 points. national polls has romney edging ahead of barack obama for the first time this year. the question is, is this what happens naturally, or was this spurred by the debate? >> it doesn't happen naturally. it happens after an earthquake. >> really? >> there was a political earthquake last week, the likes of which i've never seen in american politics, where a shift happened that dramatically in one night. donny, you've seen t
we saw the pugh poll that shows romney up a great bit. now the real news begins, the state by state by state polls. >> four weeks away. can you believe it. >> we have a few to report on this morning. >> the election is coming. the fight for battleground states, less than four weeks until election day in ohio where there are 18 electoral votes up for grabs. a new cnn poll conducted after the debate shows the president leading by four points, 51-47. romney has gained four points...
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poll after poll shows momentum building behind the romney/ryan tukt and there's pressure on the president now t wrap up his game for the three-week sprint to election day. let's bring in our correspondent, we're getting reaction to the vice presidential debate, more comments coming in. but the president has his mission cut out for him right now. dan? >> he really does. we just have to look back to right after the debate where the president turned up his volume, strongly aggressively going after his gop opponents. but what we saw this week at the university of miami on thursday at a big rally there was the president even turning up the volume a bit more. attacking mitt romney for what the president says was his changing position on a whole host of issues, including taxes. take a listen. >> he's trying to go through an extreme makeover. after running for more than a year in which he called himself severely conservative, mitt romney is trying to convince you that he was severely kidding. >> i was talking to a senior campaign official about the tone of the president's rally and this official
poll after poll shows momentum building behind the romney/ryan tukt and there's pressure on the president now t wrap up his game for the three-week sprint to election day. let's bring in our correspondent, we're getting reaction to the vice presidential debate, more comments coming in. but the president has his mission cut out for him right now. dan? >> he really does. we just have to look back to right after the debate where the president turned up his volume, strongly aggressively going...
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a couple of polls this week where it closed a tiny bit. but not -- it's just almost outside the margin of error. the romney campaign realizes if -- they still have work to do in all-important ohio. >> there is one outlying poll in florida that does suggest a big shift down there. and again -- >> almost too big of a shift. i talked to a romney advisor who said we're not up seven points. gwen: don't scare us like that. i wonder whether -- where whether we are right before the conventions. and we're going to stay there? >> in fact, the obama campaign said that this week. when you were saying it lost a week, in fact, they were sort of suggesting that in the national polls it had tightened to the point where it was before the convention. if you think about that, and lost a month. more than a month. so they were acknowledging that. at least. i thought that was very interesting that they were trying to say that their argument is that mitt romney does not have enough time to make up the gap in the battleground states that jeff is talking about. an
a couple of polls this week where it closed a tiny bit. but not -- it's just almost outside the margin of error. the romney campaign realizes if -- they still have work to do in all-important ohio. >> there is one outlying poll in florida that does suggest a big shift down there. and again -- >> almost too big of a shift. i talked to a romney advisor who said we're not up seven points. gwen: don't scare us like that. i wonder whether -- where whether we are right before the...
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let me ask you about the latest polls because the pew poll now shows mitt romney ahead for the first time. these things could bounce around a little bit but certainly shows he has gained some advantage after that debate. >> well, i thought there was an interesting column by a fellow named nate silver 538 in "the new york times" plot s out how the elections have gone in the past. almost always when an incumbent president in the debate and a challenger does well which almost always happens the challenger goes up for a while in the polls but then goes back down. he think it would have much effect on the election and i tend to agree with him. >> that is if the candidate, if the president of the united states, comes back with a different game plan. what do you think he needs to do in the next debate he didn't do in the first debate? >> well, the bottom line is, i think that he is a fighter. i think he will come to the conclusion that he let romney get away with a little too much trying to be very presidential, and i don't think you'll see the same thing in the next debate. >> let's talk a
let me ask you about the latest polls because the pew poll now shows mitt romney ahead for the first time. these things could bounce around a little bit but certainly shows he has gained some advantage after that debate. >> well, i thought there was an interesting column by a fellow named nate silver 538 in "the new york times" plot s out how the elections have gone in the past. almost always when an incumbent president in the debate and a challenger does well which almost...
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romney is improving even though by small margins. we've seen him come up in several national polls, as well. how concerned is the obama campaign? >> when you heard all of the hand wringing and unhappiness with the first debate, those aren't terrible for obama. in particular, ohio. i mean, who knew that ohio might become obama's firewall? they put a lot of money in that state. i think they defined romney as the bain capital guy and that was not a good thing in the way obama people put those ads on the air. and i think the result is that if obama can hold that kind of lead in ohio, he might come out of this as long as biden does his job and obama is not as sleepy as he was in the first debate, couldn't procenounce dana's wonderful word from the beginning of the show. >> how much does format play into this? both will be seated. nine topics. ten minutes per topic. the questions whether go back and forth between domestic and foreign policy. does that lend itself to more conversation? do you you prepare differently for a debate format like
romney is improving even though by small margins. we've seen him come up in several national polls, as well. how concerned is the obama campaign? >> when you heard all of the hand wringing and unhappiness with the first debate, those aren't terrible for obama. in particular, ohio. i mean, who knew that ohio might become obama's firewall? they put a lot of money in that state. i think they defined romney as the bain capital guy and that was not a good thing in the way obama people put...
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given a sort of resonance reveals to the american public how can romney or obama persuade the u.s. public that they need to support a position of leadership? why do they tell us about how americans are struggling with a balance between leadership, intervention, nonintervention as they continue to see the priorities here at home? >> that's exactly the right question because i think that struggling with ambivalence is the heart of the matter. >> i'm going to offer for broad generalizations about the state of american public opinion on the questions in general, and then i will end where should we ended it with some brief comments on the syrian issue. first, just what the make a technical pulling no -- polling note and this is a survey of adults. it's not of registered voters let alone likely voters. so, there are some -- there are some differences as to propose the increasingly demanding screens on adults, and these results will probably pick up more young people, more people who are more weekly connected to the political system, and in this election year i think that difference betwe
given a sort of resonance reveals to the american public how can romney or obama persuade the u.s. public that they need to support a position of leadership? why do they tell us about how americans are struggling with a balance between leadership, intervention, nonintervention as they continue to see the priorities here at home? >> that's exactly the right question because i think that struggling with ambivalence is the heart of the matter. >> i'm going to offer for broad...
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i think our cnn poll of polls had a three-point edge, actually, at this point for governor romney. what decides this election, or is it multi-determined? >> it is multi-determined, and one thing you can bank on, the florida election will be close on election night, where i think -- >> do you think? >> maybe. maybe. i think -- i think it all depends on these next two debates. it's fair to say that i think, you know, governor romney has a three-point lead in some polls. mason dixon had him with a seven-point lead. i think it's in the three, four point range. this election could maybe not be close. >> do you sense it moving away from -- clearly, al senses it moving away from the president in florida. do you sense that? >> no, not at all. the obama team has registered more voters in florida than we ever dreamed to do. we've got more than 100 offices on the ground, but most importantly, the economic facts in florida -- florida went through a very difficult time. 220,000 new jobs in florida in the last 31 months. president supports a robust space program. the differences on medicare, the
i think our cnn poll of polls had a three-point edge, actually, at this point for governor romney. what decides this election, or is it multi-determined? >> it is multi-determined, and one thing you can bank on, the florida election will be close on election night, where i think -- >> do you think? >> maybe. maybe. i think -- i think it all depends on these next two debates. it's fair to say that i think, you know, governor romney has a three-point lead in some polls. mason...
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romney will stop using glenn dougherty's story. >>> the polls have moved mitt romney a bit away from the democrats and democrats are jumpy right now. should they be? one democrat said that's my party, irrational, overconfident, sometimes near irrational despair. but i say take -- well, buckle your seat belts and start driving this campaign and stop worrying so much. here's one mini thought, less big bird and more big dog. >> so at the debate they got together and said, hey, man, this ship is sinking faster than the titanic. but people are still frustrated about the economy. they want it fixed yesterday. so just show up with a sunny face and say, i didn't say all that stuff i said the last two years. >> that's bill clinton showing the democrats how to take on romney/ryan. let's hope they get the message starting now. >>> also, what really happened in that fatal attack in benghazi? republicans are charged with the state department with lack security. republicans say democrats are trying to score points off a tragedy. a ceo says if a certain candidate wins presidency, he may have to fir
romney will stop using glenn dougherty's story. >>> the polls have moved mitt romney a bit away from the democrats and democrats are jumpy right now. should they be? one democrat said that's my party, irrational, overconfident, sometimes near irrational despair. but i say take -- well, buckle your seat belts and start driving this campaign and stop worrying so much. here's one mini thought, less big bird and more big dog. >> so at the debate they got together and said, hey, man,...
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but we have a new poll from rocky mountain, a rocky mountain poll showing obama 42%, romney, 42% among all voters. that is surprising, because just a few weeks ago romney was ahead. we rate arizona as leaning romney, and this poll was taken after the presidential debate that most people thought, even president obama thought that he didn't bring his a-game. so it is a little bit surprising that this poll shows obama slightly ahead of romney. >> yeah, at least it makes the contest more interesting and not predictable. so let's talk about tuesday's debate format. our candy crowley, she is going to be great, make that raddatz, we knew was going to be great. how is this going to be different? >> well, it is a town hall format, different than just the usual area, the candidates are speaking directly to the voters themselves. they're having to gauge or maybe you know, modify their answers based on the reaction, right? it is a lot tougher, it presents a lot more opportunities for mistakes. you remember, don, in 1992, president george h.w. bush looking down at his watch in a town hall format de
but we have a new poll from rocky mountain, a rocky mountain poll showing obama 42%, romney, 42% among all voters. that is surprising, because just a few weeks ago romney was ahead. we rate arizona as leaning romney, and this poll was taken after the presidential debate that most people thought, even president obama thought that he didn't bring his a-game. so it is a little bit surprising that this poll shows obama slightly ahead of romney. >> yeah, at least it makes the contest more...
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and the pew poll that came out earlier this week, wolf, said six in ten voters believe that romney is promising more than he can deliver. one reason bill clinton's speech was so popular at the democratic convention was he said the arithmetic doesn't add up. so you can push is this just rhetoric during a campaign, or is this real? if you want to close tax loopholes, okay, fine. what loopholes would you close? he's got to answer that. and so far hasn't done it. >> his argument is i don't want to put all that out right now. because if he's president, he's going to have to negotiate all those issues with democrats. and why put your own position out right now. >> sure. >> i don't know if his argument's going to necessarily hold. that's another matter. a lot of folks have seen romney over these past couple weeks at the debate, in the interview with me, moving more towards the center. do you see that? >> i did. i saw that particularly in your interview when he talked about the wealthy and how his tax plan would affect the wealthy. because of course the obama team is saying, you know, mitt ro
and the pew poll that came out earlier this week, wolf, said six in ten voters believe that romney is promising more than he can deliver. one reason bill clinton's speech was so popular at the democratic convention was he said the arithmetic doesn't add up. so you can push is this just rhetoric during a campaign, or is this real? if you want to close tax loopholes, okay, fine. what loopholes would you close? he's got to answer that. and so far hasn't done it. >> his argument is i don't...
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republican pollsters who do these together. 73% of the people in the battleground poll, the gallup poll this morning from the 72% of the people who watched the debate thought that mitt romney won. [applause] how about this. have a 63% of the democrats who watched the debate thought i romney won. [applause] lausanne, and just to make a guy make a guy with the big shot. a lot of you probably democrat 11 brothers and sisters and my dad owned a bar. i'm the last guy in the world who want to be a member of congress, much less the speaker. you know, i like all of you grew up in america, a country we can be anything you had to be and do anything you want to do. i was lucky enough to work myself through school at miniview, was able to get into a small business and grow into successful business. along the way i got to know my neighborhood homeowners ossetian and ended up for speaker of the house. this too could happen to you. but i got involved because i thought it was time for people from the real world to take a more active interest in our government. when i went there as a small-business pers
republican pollsters who do these together. 73% of the people in the battleground poll, the gallup poll this morning from the 72% of the people who watched the debate thought that mitt romney won. [applause] how about this. have a 63% of the democrats who watched the debate thought i romney won. [applause] lausanne, and just to make a guy make a guy with the big shot. a lot of you probably democrat 11 brothers and sisters and my dad owned a bar. i'm the last guy in the world who want to be a...